Day Trading The Index Futures - How To Judge Good Entries
QUESTION: If the SP futures fall through support and go straight down for another two points, and I want to get short, should I a.)enter immediately, b.) two points below support, or c.)should I wait for a pullback and then try to get short?
You've got to be patient enough to wait for entries that have two things: first - a high probability of immediate gain, and second - a small potential for loss if the worst happens and your hard stop gets hit. This principle applies to all entries, and it's useful to think about it when you're trying to decide whether to enter on a pullback or a continuation of a move.
Entering on a pullback offers less dollar risk than chasing the market because you can place your hard stop on the other side of support or resistance and risk only a point or two. (Of course, this doesn't mean you're going to hang around and let the market hit your hard stop if things go wrong.)
Entering on a pullback also gives you a better chance of gaining a point or so in the first 30 to 60 seconds of the trade. This is important, though very few people seem to be talking about it, perhaps it's a well kept secret.
I rarely (almost never) chase the market. Here's why. Usually, if you chase the market for your entry, you'll get filled about the same time the crowd's emotion is exhausted. The market will pull back and you'll have to get out immediately (if you're smart). On the other hand, if you're stubborn and you don't get out immediately, you'll have to suffer through the pullback and *hope* that the trend continues before your stop is hit. If the market gets close to your stop, you'll be tempted to move the stop away just a little bit. Once you give in to the temptation, you've got an expensive trading habit that may eventually take you out of the business.
Whenever you find yourself *hoping* that the market will come back and get you out of a bad position, you really have to head for the exits *now*. Don't even think about the commission, or all the time you spent waiting for the setup. just get out.
QUESTION: What if there is no pullback?
If the market breaks through support and keeps going down without a pullback, you just have to be a pro and let it go. All the lost opportunity in the world won't take your account balance down, but chasing high-risk, low-probability entries will cost you.
Mike Reed is author of TradeStalker's RBI Trader's Updates. He has been trading the Market for 23 years. His support and resistance numbers have been published on the internet since 1996. Mike's nightly support and resistance zones are specific and incredibly accurate. He offers an unlimited free trial of his nightly TradeStalker RBI Trader's Updates. http://www.TradeStalker.com Copyright 2005 Mike Reed
Online Forex Trading
Foreign exchange currency trading is also known as Forex trading, or FX, and has no single physical marketplace like the New York Stock Exchange does on Wall Street in New York or the Tokyo Stock Exchange does in Japan. The New York Stock Exchange and the Tokyo Stock Exchange online traders are limited to making purchases during the actual trading hours governed by New York Stock Exchange hours or the Japanese Stock Exchange's Tokyo hours. In contrast online Forex trading gives traders access to the online Forex trading community through an electronic series of different online trading platforms. Online Forex trading and online accessibility are nicely compatible because the world's foreign currency exchange market is a 24-hour market, and the internet...(related: Currency Trading)
Options Trading - Advantages And Disadvantages
What is Options Trading?An option is simply granting someone the right to buy or sell something in the future. In the case of Dow index futures options, when someone buys a Dow call option they are buying the right to purchase that underlying Dow future at a specific price, known as the "strike price," at a future point in time, known as the "expiration date." When an investor buys a put, they are essentially selling the market; a call essentially buys the market. Likewise, selling a put essentially buys the market; selling a call essentially sells the market.In or...(related: Currency Trading)
The Yin And The Yang Of Markets
I am reading a fantastic book on trading, first published in 1924, by Richard D. Wyckoff, titled "How I Trade and Invest in Stocks & Bonds". Although most of the exam...(related: Currency Trading)
Where Is The Market Going?
If you ask me whether the market will have moved up or down by this time next year, well I may as well flip a coin, because I don't know.If you ask me whether the market will have moved up or down by this time next month, well again, I may as well flip a coin, because I still don't know.If you ask me whether the market will have moved up or down by this time next week, AGAIN, I may as well flip a coin, because I don't know.And if you ask me whether the market will have moved up or down by this time tomorrow, I am sorry, but I JUST DON'T KNOW!But? if you ask me whether the market will move up or down in next few minutes, well I will have a definite opinion. Why? Because if I can see the CU...(related: Currency Trading)
Option Arbitrage In The Forex Market
What is arbitrage? Arbitrage is the simultaneous buying and selling of identical financial instruments taking advantage of price discrepancies between different brokers, exchanges, clearing firms, etc. and thus locking in a profit. On paper, arbitrage is a risk-less trading strategy. In the real world however, risks abound.So why trade arbitrage? Well, if the risks can be managed, arbitrage can be extremely profitable if you can find the opportunities and take advantage of the opportunities before th...(related: Currency Trading)
Example Of A Profitable Transaction In Forex
To make a profit, in the FOREX, a trader can enter the market as a *buy position* (known as going "long") or a *sell position*(known as going "short").For discussion, let's assume you've been studying the EURO.Your trading methods, rules, strategies, etc., tell you that price...(related: Currency Trading)
Forex Signal Services
What are Forex signals? Forex signals are paid services offered by some brokers and independent Forex annalists. Companies that offer forex signals monitor and analyze the market for you, providing you with their data via desktop alerts, email or even SMS and pager alerts.Forex signal services analyze several factors when preparing their data. They do a technical analysis of market conditions and use a combination of indicators to identify trends and isolate profitable entry and exit points. They then send you the results via the venue of your choice and you can choose to use the signal in your own trading, or pass on it.Most forex signal services offer signals for only a handful of the most popular currency pairs, such as ...(related: Currency Trading)
Long TermLong term traders will work from end of day data and look to hold trades for a few weeks up to many months. Usually trend trading.AdvantagesNo need to watch the markets intraday.Fewer transactions means lower commission costs.<...(related: Currency Trading)
Forex 101: Make Money With Currency Trading
For those unfamiliar with the term, FOREX (FOReign EXchange market), refers to an international exchange market where currencies are bought and sold. The Foreign Exchange Market that we see today began in the 1970's, when free exchange rates and floating currencies were introduced. In such an environment only participants in the market determine the price of one currency against another, based upon supply and demand for that currency.FOREX is a somewhat unique market for a number of reasons. Firstly, it is one of the few markets in which it can be said with very few qualifications that it is free of external controls and that it cannot be manipula...(related: Currency Trading)
Money Management - The Holy Grail Of Trading
Money management determines how much to risk on each individual trade. This is a vital element of any trading system - risk too much and the chances of going bust are too high, risk too little and the reward for trading is too low.The main methods for calculating trade size are:Fixed FractionalThe number of contracts to trade is determined by a fixed percentage of current equity. As only whole futures contracts can be trade this, effectively, means that the trader uses 1 contract per $x of equity. For example 1 contract per $10,000.Fixed fractional, however, requires unequal achievement at different contract levels. For 1 contract every $10,000 to move from 1 contract to 2 requires a profit of $10,000 from 1 contract. To move from 10 contracts to 11 still re...(related: Currency Trading)
Welcome To The World Of Currency Trading
Indeed large multinational and individual banks and other major financial institutions have dominated FX trading (also known as Forex trading), but there is a paradigm change in the nature and type of investing. According to one estimate, in the new millennium, there are over 6 million ...(related: Currency Trading)
Forex Broker Involvement Optional
To trade on the forex market, the largest financial market on the planet, one must use a forex broker. Not unlike a stock broker, a forex broker can also makes suggestions about which moves to make when exchanging foreign currency. Some forex brokers even supply technical analysis to some of their clients and offer tips on research to improve their success as forex traders.Typically in the forex market a forex broker is a banking institution who may buy up large amounts of a certain currency. For years, banks were the only ones who had access to the forex markets. But today with the Internet, any forex trader, who subscribes with a forex broker, can access the market 24 hours a day.Today, as with stock brokers, the brick and mortar institutions, such as banks, are ...(related: Currency Trading)